ChatGPT and then Deepseek landed in a monumentally short period of time. Is Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) possible in 2025?

Artificial Intelligence has come a long way in recent years, but will we see the rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) in the near future? Let's discuss the exciting possibilities—and potential dangers—of AGI by comparing it to current AI systems like ChatGPT and DeepSeek. We'll explore the different levels of AI, from ANI (Artificial Narrow Intelligence) to AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and ASI (Artificial Superintelligence), and look at how exponential growth in scientific development is pushing us closer to more advanced forms of intelligence. Could we eventually live in a world resembling I Robot, The Matrix, or Wall-E? What will civilisation look like as AI continues to evolve?

Let's also dive into how transformer models, like the ones that power systems like ChatGPT, actually work. How do these neural networks process language, and what can humanity do to harness their vast potential? But the real question is: what if AGI becomes sentient one day? Would it pass the Turing test, and if so, what impact could that have on humanity? Finally, we'll discuss the ongoing AI arms race between China and the US, comparing how DeepSeek and ChatGPT represent different takes on the future of AI. Join us for a deep dive into the future of AI, its capabilities, and its risks.

ChatGPT和Deepseek在极短的时间内问世，人工通用智能（AGI）会在2025年实现吗？

人工智能在近年来取得了显著进展，但我们是否会在不久的将来见证人工通用智能（AGI）的崛起？让我们一起探讨AGI的激动人心的可能性以及它潜在的风险，通过将其与当前的AI系统，如ChatGPT和DeepSeek，进行对比。我们将了解AI的不同层级，从人工狭义智能（ANI）到AGI（人工通用智能），再到ASI（人工超级智能），并探讨科学发展指数增长如何将我们推向更高级的智能形式。未来我们会不会生活在类似《机械公敌》、《黑客帝国》或《机器人总动员》中的世界？随着AI的不断进化，文明将会变成什么样子？

我们还将深入探讨变换器模型（例如支撑ChatGPT的系统）是如何运作的。这些神经网络是如何处理语言的？人类又该如何利用它们巨大的潜力？但真正的问题是：如果AGI有一天变得具备自我意识，会发生什么？它能通过图灵测试吗？如果通过了，对人类社会会带来怎样的影响？最后，我们还将讨论中美之间的AI军备竞赛，比较DeepSeek和ChatGPT在AI未来展望上的不同看法。加入我们，一起深入探讨AI的未来、它的能力和潜在风险。